So Miss
W-L: (20-16) PR = 95.3435Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 79-85 1106 A TOUGA 93-57 1109 H So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 79-83 1113 H Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 70-75 1118 A WILCA 82-59 1122 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 92-83 1123 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 70-60 1203 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 82-75 1206 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 64-88 1208 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 68-60 1213 H Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 67-71 1218 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 62-54 1218 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 62-54 1220 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 86-93 1229 H LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 62-90 101 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 87-73 103 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 74-67 108 A TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 80-70 110 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 70-60 114 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 65-91 117 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 67-74 122 H Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 62-69 124 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 67-85 129 H App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 63-70 131 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 73-65 204 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 77-81 207 A Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 66-65 212 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 78-84 214 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 69-65 221 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 86-81 224 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 84-89 227 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 68-55 305 A Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 86-80 306 A TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 81-77 307 A App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 86-73 308 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 70-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Buffalo 79-85 -6 0 - -2.00
1109 H So Carolina 79-83 -4 -1 -0.98
1113 H Grambling St 70-75 -5 1 - -3.21
1122 A No Florida 92-83 9 2 0.21
1123 A UT Martin 70-60 10 0 1.73
1203 A Radford 82-75 7 1 1.19
1206 H Miami (Fl) 64-88 -24 -3 0.00
1208 A Grambling St 68-60 8 1 0.81
1213 H Ole Miss 67-71 -4 -2 -0.48
1218 A Louisiana 62-54 8 1 1.12
1218 A Louisiana 62-54 8 1 1.12
1220 H Arkansas St 86-93 -7 0 -1.61
1229 H LSU 62-90 -28 -1 -0.52
101 A LA-Monroe 87-73 14 2 0.00
103 A Louisiana 74-67 7 1 1.12
108 A TX St-SM 80-70 10 0 + 2.03
110 A LA-Monroe 70-60 10 2 0.00
114 H Troy 65-91 -26 -1 -1.34
117 H TX St-SM 67-74 -7 0 -1.99
122 H Georgia St 62-69 -7 1 - -3.17
124 H Coastal Car 67-85 -18 0 - -2.04
129 H App State 63-70 -7 0 -1.89
131 A Jam Madison 73-65 8 0 1.93
204 H Marshall 77-81 -4 0 -1.71
207 A Kent State 66-65 1 -1 1.90
212 H So Alabama 78-84 -6 0 -1.70
214 A Troy 69-65 4 -1 + 2.68
221 A Old Dominion 86-81 5 1 1.34
224 H Arkansas St 84-89 -5 0 -1.61
227 A So Alabama 68-55 13 0 + 2.32
305 A Jam Madison 86-80 6 0 1.93
306 A TX St-SM 81-77 4 0 + 2.03
307 A App State 86-73 13 0 + 2.13
308 H Troy 70-78 -8 -1 -1.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H Buffalo 79-85 -6 0 - -2.00 1113 H Grambling St 70-75 -5 1 - -3.21 122 H Georgia St 62-69 -7 1 - -3.17 124 H Coastal Car 67-85 -18 0 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 A TX St-SM 80-70 10 0 + 2.03 214 A Troy 69-65 4 -1 + 2.68 227 A So Alabama 68-55 13 0 + 2.32 306 A TX St-SM 81-77 4 0 + 2.03 307 A App State 86-73 13 0 + 2.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 79-85 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 0.97 -2.21
3 H So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 79-83 -3.52 3.95 -0.01 0.97 -1.72
3 H Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 70-75 -5.75 1.72 -0.01 0.97 -2.80
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 92-83 -6.36 1.12 0.01 0.97 2.19
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 70-60 -4.84 2.64 0.01 0.97 5.15
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 82-75 -5.37 2.10 0.01 0.97 4.10
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 64-88 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 0.97 -0.94
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 68-60 -5.75 1.72 0.01 0.97 3.37
3 H Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 67-71 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 0.97 -1.48
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 62-54 -5.44 2.03 0.01 0.97 3.97
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 62-54 -5.44 2.03 0.01 0.97 3.97
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 86-93 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 0.97 -2.02
3 H LSU (15-17, 96.8) 62-90 -3.07 4.41 -0.01 0.97 -1.50
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 87-73 -6.76 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 74-67 -5.44 2.03 0.01 0.97 3.97
3 A TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 80-70 -4.53 2.94 0.01 0.97 5.73
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 70-60 -6.76 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 65-91 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 0.97 -1.89
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 67-74 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 0.97 -2.21
3 H Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 62-69 -5.71 1.76 -0.01 0.97 -2.78
3 H Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 67-85 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 0.97 -2.23
3 H App State (19-14, 95.5) 63-70 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 0.97 -2.16
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 73-65 -4.64 2.84 0.01 0.97 5.53
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 77-81 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 0.97 -2.07
3 A Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 66-65 -3.66 3.81 0.01 0.97 7.42
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 78-84 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 0.97 -2.06
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 69-65 -3.89 3.59 0.01 0.97 6.98
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 86-81 -5.22 2.25 0.01 0.97 4.39
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 84-89 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 0.97 -2.02
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 68-55 -4.24 3.23 0.01 0.97 6.30
3 A Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 86-80 -4.64 2.84 0.01 0.97 5.53
3 A TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 81-77 -4.53 2.94 0.01 0.97 5.73
3 A App State (19-14, 95.5) 86-73 -4.44 3.04 0.01 0.97 5.92
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 70-78 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 0.97 -1.89
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52.18
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winning pts = 84.1733 losing points = -31.9915
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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